In the last one week, I asked this question to many ordinary citizens of Delhi that the results of the assembly elections in Delhi will have an impact on national politics. Everyone told me that the election in Delhi will definitely have an impact on national politics.
Praveen Kumar, who works as a security guard in a high-rise building in Connaught Place in the heart of Delhi, says, "The BJP takes every election, even the MCD election, seriously and earnestly. Fights elections. Whether the party loses or wins, it will definitely affect its morale. "
In the opinion of Imam Jafar of New Friends Colony, "If the BJP loses in Delhi, it will affect the credibility of Amit Shah and Narendra Modi. And if the Aam Aadmi Party is defeated, the future of the party can also be questioned."
In the wake of Delhi elections, Amit Shah is counting the achievements of the central government in his election meetings, including the removal of Article 370 from Jammu and Kashmir, the Ram temple decision in his favor.
But the election of Delhi will not be decided on national issues. Then in such a situation, how and why will the impact of its results affect the politics of the country? While Delhi does not even have the status of a full state.
Delhi has only seven Lok Sabha seats. Talking of assembly seats, Delhi has only 70 seats. Delhi Police does not come under the government of Delhi because the government has limited powers.
Pankaj Vohra, a citizen and senior journalist of Delhi, says that the election results of Delhi always have an impact on national politics.
He says, "All the leaders believe that Delhi is mini India. There is a national media present in Delhi which covers the election of Delhi very seriously, due to which its voice also echoes far and wide."
Former leader of Aam Aadmi Party And senior journalist Ashutosh According to the Delhi election is an important national event and the Delhi assembly election to be held on February 8 is very important for the Bharatiya Janata Party, which is in power at the center.
He says, "If you look at the trends, the party won the Gujarat assembly elections in 2015 very hard. In Karnataka, it could not form a government (after the election results). BJP lost in Chhattisgarh. In Punjab, Rajasthan and Madhya Pradesh The party lost. BJP alone could not form a government in Haryana. It could not form a government in Maharashtra either. "
Ashutosh says, "If the margin of victory and defeat in Delhi is high, then the confusion of BJP's never losing party will be broken."
According to him, if the BJP loses, then the morale of the opposition will increase, "This will increase the confidence of the opposition that if we fight elections together, Modi can be defeated. Neither he is invincible nor Amit Shah is Chanakya."
But what aam aadmi party Once again power Will you return to
In the Delhi elections, BJP is making a lot of emphasis, but the general perception is that the victory will be of the 'Aam Aadmi Party'.
One reason for this is that there is no candidate for the post of Chief Minister in the BJP against Arvind Kejriwal.
The Congress is still very weak and is far behind in this race. Another reason for this is the split within the Delhi BJP and people within the party also confirm this. Many leaders associated with the BJP with whom I spoke accepted this.
But if Kejriwal gets ahead in this race, the main reason will be his government's report card. It is believed that in the initial phase after coming to power, Kejriwal paid less attention to work and made more attacks on Prime Minister Modi.
During this time, a situation of confrontation with LG of Delhi was created several times.
Two years ago, after a Supreme Court decision, he changed his track. In February 2016, the Supreme Court made a clear distribution of responsibilities between the Delhi government and the central government, and after that Kejriwal started working on his government's plans at a fast pace.
Ashutosh says that for the last two years Kejriwal has been touring continuously without campaigning and insisting on implementing his government's schemes. More than this, he is also paying full attention to the promotion of his work.
He says, "The report card of the party is also in front of the public and the reactions of the common people are mixed on it."
"If we go to raw populations, then people praise the Kejriwal government. Wealthy societies and people living in the cells do not get tired of criticizing them. That is why Kejriwal's election campaign is concentrated in the raw populations and slums."
"The Aam Aadmi Party is consistently counting successes in its government's successes such as locality clinics, better school performance and better education, cheaper electricity, good streets and roads in every locality."
People in the slums accept that the level of health, electricity, water and education has improved in Delhi. The argument of some experts is that Arvind Kejriwal's silence on an issue like the Citizenship Amendment Act can be overwhelming for the Aam Aadmi Party.
Initially, the Muslim voter was disappointed with the AAP party, but now there is a perception among the Muslim community that it will be their compulsion to vote for Kejriwal to defeat the BJP.
It seems that in the BJP's camp, there is a feeling that Kejriwal does not have the answer. That is why Amit Shah is holding election meetings in Delhi in place of Prime Minister Modi. The rally at Ram Leela Maidan was the first rally of the Prime Minister and since then this work has been handed over to Amit Shah.
Whichever one wins the Delhi Assembly elections, there is no doubt that its impact will have an impact on national politics.
Living in delhi for years Anil Kolita, an Assam digital media executive It is said that the results of Delhi Assembly elections can prove very important.
He says, "BJP's victory will increase Amit Shah's stature, while the party's defeat will shock him because he does not like to lose. Modi ji will hold rallies and even then the party will lose if it is understood that people did not listen to him, Like it happened in 2015. "
He says, "If you look at the past few years, at the national level BJP won all the seven seats of Delhi in 2014 and 2019 whereas it got only three seats in the 2015 assembly elections. In recent years, see In the case of BJP, the graph is going down. It was defeated in Punjab, Karnataka, Bihar, Rajasthan, Chhattisgarh and Madhya Pradesh while emerging as the largest party in Maharashtra. Sector that could not form a government even. Even compared to the previous elections it had heavy losses. "
The results of the Delhi elections are also expected to answer many questions. Like, was the emergence of the Aam Aadmi Party just a temporary event or is it a party emerging as a constant force? Will BJP come to Delhi? Or will voters again differentiate between state and national elections like last time? Will the Congress rise again in Delhi after Sheila Dixit's death? And will the citizenship (amendment) law and subsequent protests have any impact on the electoral outcome?
Apart from this, perhaps Delhi Assembly elections can also answer these questions whether Narendra Modi can win the assembly elections on his own strength to the party?
These elections are more important to the BJP than the Congress and the Aam Aadmi Party. While BJP has an overwhelming majority in the Lok Sabha, it does not have a majority in the Rajya Sabha.
If it wants to pass controversial bills like anti-conversion in the coming time, it will be easy for it by having a majority in the Rajya Sabha. For this, it is very important to win elections in the states in the coming time.
The question of who will win the elections in Delhi is also being asked in the media and localities. Most experts are assuming that the Aam Aadmi Party will once again get a majority.
It is also believed in BJP's camp that it can be defeated in Delhi. As far as the Congress is concerned, Ashutosh says that he will be surprised if the party also opens its account.
But whom does the public choose, will it be known only after the results?
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